An American-brokered ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine in the Black Sea is facing backlash from analysts and officials who argue that the deal heavily favors Moscow while offering little to Kyiv.
The agreement, negotiated by a U.S. delegation in Saudi Arabia, aims to halt maritime attacks and protect energy infrastructure. However, critics say the deal comes with significant concessions to Russia, including potential easing of Western sanctions on Russian exports.
Concerns Over Concessions
Russia has linked its participation in the ceasefire to the lifting of certain sanctions, including restrictions on agricultural and fertilizer exports and restoring its banking access to international markets. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has strongly opposed any sanctions relief, warning that it could embolden Russia rather than encourage peace.
“The U.S. appears to be prioritizing a quick resolution over Ukraine’s long-term security,” said James Nixey, a senior analyst at Chatham House. “This deal risks handing significant advantages to the Kremlin while undermining Ukraine’s position.”
Ceasefire Violations and Distrust
Despite the truce agreement, both sides have accused each other of violations. Russia's Defense Ministry has claimed that Ukrainian drones targeted energy facilities in the Bryansk and Kursk regions, leading to power outages. Ukraine has denied these accusations, calling them disinformation.
Many Ukrainian officials remain skeptical of Russia’s commitment to any ceasefire. Oleksandr Merezhko, chair of Ukraine’s foreign policy committee, compared negotiations with Moscow to "dealing with gangsters" and warned against trusting Russia’s promises.
Western Divisions and Strategic Impact
The European Union has distanced itself from the U.S. approach, emphasizing that sanctions should not be lifted unless Russia fully withdraws its forces from Ukraine. This difference in strategy has raised concerns about Western unity in responding to the ongoing conflict.
As the ceasefire’s implementation remains uncertain, critics fear the deal could ultimately strengthen Russia’s economic and military position while offering Ukraine little in return.